An application of Jacobi's elliptic functions to asymptotic probabilities for conformal restriction measures

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We show that for the conformal restriction measure with exponent b in the unit disk on hulls γ connecting eix to 1 the probability of the event that γ avoids the disk of radius q centered at zero decays like (-bπx/(1-q)) if either b∈[5/8,1]∪[5/4,∞) and x∈(0,π], or if b∈(1,5/4), x∈(0,π), and bx≤π.