Prediction Measures in Beta Regression Models
Espinheira, Patrícia L. · da Silva, Luana Cecília Meireles · Silva, Alisson de Oliveira
Original · EN
We consider the issue of constructing PRESS statistics and coefficients of prediction for a class of beta regression models. We aim at displaying measures of predictive power of the model regardless goodness-of-fit. Monte Carlo simulation results on the finite sample behavior of such measures are provided.We also present an application that relates to the distribution of natural gas for home usage in São Paulo, Brazil. Faced with the economic risk of to overestimate or to underestimate the distribution of gas was necessary to construct prediction limits using beta regression models (Espinheira et al., 2014). Thus, it arises the aim of this work, the selection of best predictive model to construct best prediction limits.
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