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arXiv 2010-11-04 DOI 10.1214/10-STS325 1 views

Particle Learning and Smoothing

Carvalho, Carlos M. · Johannes, Michael S. · Lopes, Hedibert F. · Polson, Nicholas G.

Original · EN

Particle learning (PL) provides state filtering, sequential parameter learning and smoothing in a general class of state space models. Our approach extends existing particle methods by incorporating the estimation of static parameters via a fully-adapted filter that utilizes conditional sufficient statistics for parameters and/or states as particles. State smoothing in the presence of parameter uncertainty is also solved as a by-product of PL. In a number of examples, we show that PL outperforms existing particle filtering alternatives and proves to be a competitor to MCMC.

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